With the season opening Thursday night against the Southern Miss, now is probably the right time to put down on paper my predictions for the 2010 South Carolina Gamecocks football season.
As much as diehard Gamecock fans want this season to be the year, it is just not going to happen. A tough schedule is going to burn the Gamecocks.
Let me, however, clarify something. This is the Gamecocks best opportunity to make some noise in the SEC East. A somewhat down year for the division gives the Gamecocks a fighting chance.
September 2nd – vs. Southern Miss – Unlike the past 2 years, a victory is not a guarantee against the Golden Eagles. Southern Miss brings a fast-paced, pass-happy offense that South Carolina’s Assistant Coach for Defense Ellis Johnson will have to dial in the right scheme.
This is a game that should be close through 3 quarters, but the power of the SEC will allow the Gamecocks to pull away late. Gamecocks 24, Golden Eagles 14.
September 11th – vs. Georgia – No one expected the sloppy, high-scoring game that occurred last year between these two teams, which had the Bulldogs outlasting the Gamecocks 41-37.
Georgia will have to rely on the running game and a stout defense in order to beat the Gamecocks in the suffocating heat, which will certainly be a factor as kickoff is scheduled for noon.
The Gamecocks will have the more complete, well-balanced team, and will bring home the victory. Gamecocks 20, Bulldogs 13.
September 18th – vs. Furman – If South Carolina Head Coach Steve Spurrier is going to be tempted to give Connor Shaw an opportunity to start, this is going to be the game.
Shaw, a true freshman, has easily out-practiced incumbent Stephen Garcia. It’s just hard for Spurrier to start a freshman quarterback.
An otherwise uneventful game will carry a big storyline out of it, who will start the following week at Auburn. Gamecocks 35, Paladins 10.
September 25th – at Auburn – This is the Gamecocks’ first test on the road in the 2010 season, and it could not have come at a tougher venue–Auburn, Alabama.
This is truthfully a toss up game. Both teams have the same amount of talent, it is just going to be about which team can minimize the mistakes, and take advantage of turnovers and defensive stops.
The edge goes to Auburn, simply because this game is being played at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Just like any stadium in the SEC, it’s a tough place to play. Tigers 24, Gamecocks 20.
October 9th – vs. Alabama – The Gamecocks will get two weeks to prepare for the defending national champions, the Alabama Crimson Tide.
Last year, in Tuscaloosa, the Gamecocks did not get the best of Alabama. South Carolina could not hold up Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram, who might not even be the team’s best back. The Gamecocks could have legitametly beaten Alabama, if they had just held Ingram to maybe 100 fewer rushing yards.
The Crimson Tide is an excellent pick to win both the SEC Championship and the National Championship again this season. Alabama will once again roll over the Gamecocks, just this time, it’s in Columbia. Crimson Tide 28, Gamecocks 10.
October 16th – at Kentucky – The Gamecocks, just having lost their last two games after winning their first three, have an excellent opportunity to get back to their winning ways.
Kentucky will come into this game still trying to figure out if they have a chance to go to a bowl game, or will this just be another long season for the Wildcats and new coach Joker Phillips.
However, the last few games between these two teams have been very close, including last year’s 28-26 win by South Carolina. This is a game that if the Gamecocks do not watch out, Kentucky can pull the upset.
On the road in Lexington, Kentucky have brought memorable moments in Gamecocks’ history, the hope is this year, that won’t be needed. Gamecocks 17, Wildcats 10.
October 23rd – at Vanderbilt – For the last few years, Vanderbilt has driven the Gamecocks crazy. South Carolina barely won last year. The Commodores pulled the upset on a Thursday night in Nashville two years ago. Vanderbilt also defeated the Gamecocks when they were in the top 10 in the polls in the last five years.
There is no reason why South Carolina struggles so mightily against the Commodores, but they seem to have the Gamecocks’ number.
With all that said, and despite new head coach Robbie Caldwell’s endearing personality, the Gamecocks are a more balanced team and should beat the inexperience in Nashville. Just like any game between these two teams, it’s going to be a nail-bitter. Gamecocks 13, Commodores 3.
October 30th – vs. Tennessee – The Gamecocks would like to punish the Volunteers, much like what happened on Halloween one year ago in Knoxville.
Tennessee, under new coach Derek Dooley, will struggle to get the six wins to become bowl eligible. However, this team will fight hard and tough, maybe pulling an upset in one of those games.
Both teams will bring a solid defense, but South Carolina has the edge in offense. Just like in trying to win any football game, the Gamecocks need to minimize turnovers, and take advantage of the mistakes of a young Tennessee offense. To steal a line from Lee Corso, this one is going to be closer than the experts think. With a win, the Gamecocks will become bowl eligible. Gamecocks 27, Volunteers 14.
November 6th – vs. Arkansas – The Arkansas Razorbacks have one of the top three teams in the SEC. It is truly a shame that they play in the same division as Alabama.
With quarterback Ryan Mallett returning with a passing game expert in coach Bobby Petrino, this team will battle with Alabama for the top spot in the SEC West. The talented defensive backfield of Stephon Gilmore, Chris Culliver, and Akeem Auguste of South Carolina will struggle to contain this passing attack.
The only hope South Carolina has is that Mallett becomes too confident at times and force the ball into spaces that will create turnovers for South Carolina. If the Gamecocks want a legitimate chance to win this game, they will have to do it on defense. Razorbacks 35, Gamecocks 17.
November 13th – at Florida – After nearly beating Florida one year ago, the Gamecocks will try to win in Gainesville. For some reason, the Gamecocks tend to bring their A-game when playing at Florida, even before Steve Spurrier became coach.
The Gators will not lose a whole lot with John Brantley taking over for Tim Tebow, if any. Brantley might fit into Urban Meyer’s system better than Tebow. Brantley is comparable to Alex Smith, who played as Meyer’s quarterback at Utah.
Regardless of who is the quarterback, Florida is still the team to beat in the SEC East, and they will show that in what will be a close game down in “the swamp.” Gators 24, Gamecocks 14.
November 20th – vs. Troy – For the first time in a couple years, the Gamecocks will not have an off-week between Florida and Clemson, part of the ‘orange-crush.’
There are benefits and risks to having a game after Florida and before Clemson. You have the opportunity to work on plays that you might use against the Tigers. At the same time, you risk injury to a star player right before your rivalry game.
The last time these two teams met was in 2005, when South Carolina defeated Troy 45-20. This is a game to build up the confidence for Clemson, that you might have lost against Florida. Gamecocks 34, Trojans 7.
November 27th – at Clemson – It is very tempting to pick Clemson in this game, after being embarassed in Columbia last year, and wanting to impress the home crowd at Death Valley.
However, the Gamecocks want to prove that they want to make this an even rivalry once again. Clemson will be better than originally thought with Kyle Parker playing one final year as quarterback, and a triple-headed running attack.
Expect a much closer game than last year, as these two teams will be battling for playing in December or playing in January (not a BCS game). Gamecocks 27, Tigers 21.
The Gamecocks will end the season 8-4, 4-4 in the SEC conference. If all goes well, the Gamecocks will likely play in a New Year’s Day bowl, hopefully in the warm climate of Florida. (Anyone that went to Birmingham knows its not warm.)
This year’s big storyline will be about the quarterbacks, as Spurrier will often find himself using both Garcia and Shaw. That means that this team will have to rely heavily on its stout defense if it has real aspirations to go to Atlanta for either the Chick-Fil-A Bowl or the SEC Championship.