Week 17 NFL Picks

December 29, 2012

It’s here, the final weekend of the NFL regular season; and with the exception of one or two games, it’s just like any other week.

There are very few games with playoff implications.  The AFC is set, with the exception of a couple of seeds.  The NFC still has a couple of division spots up for grabs (besides NFC East, either San Francisco or Seattle could still win the NFC West), some seeding issues to work out, and the last wild card spot.

Then you also have the teams with coaches who are walking on the sidelines for the final time with their respective teams.

We’ll keep picking games right through the Super Bowl, although next week’s picks will come very early in the week.

Last Week:  13-3 (.813)

Overall:  160-79-1 (.667)

Buccaneers vs. Falcons

Jets vs. Bills  (In this terrible game to have to pick, gut tells me Jets win big.)

Ravens vs. Bengals

Bears vs. Lions  (Another terrible game to have to pick.)

Jaguars vs. Titans  (Another terrible game to have to pick.)

Texans vs. Colts

Panthers vs. Saints

Eagles vs. Giants

Browns vs. Steelers

Chiefs vs. Broncos

Packers vs. Vikings  (Does anyone even realize that the Vikings could, and does have an inside line to make the playoffs?)

Dolphins vs. Patriots

Raiders vs. Chargers  (Another terrible game to have to pick.)

Cardinals vs. 49ers

Rams vs. Seahawks

Cowboys vs. Redskins  (Have to give the edge to the home team.)


Week 16 NFL Picks

December 20, 2012

The NFL is on Saturday and Sunday this week to avoid conflicts with Christmas.

Speaking of Christmas, hopefully the holiday season is as good to you, as it is to my picks.

Last week was great in the early games, but went downhill quick as soon as the 4 p.m. games started.

Last Week:  10-6 (.625)

Overall:  147-76-1 (.656)

Falcons vs. Lions  (What a disappointing season for the Lions this season.)

Saints vs. Cowboys  (It pains me to pick the Cowboys, because as soon as I jump on that bandwagon, they will disappoint.)

Titans vs. Packers

Colts vs. Chiefs

Bills vs. Dolphins

Chargers vs. Jets  (The thriller of a game to pick.  Second straight week of two teams who will have new head coaches.)

Redskins vs. Eagles

Bengals vs. Steelers  (I refuse to believe the Steelers are as bad as they have been playing.)

Rams vs. Buccaneers  (Two teams going in different directions at this point in the season.)

Raiders vs. Panthers

Patriots vs. Jaguars

Vikings vs. Texans

Browns vs. Broncos  (This one might be closer than people think.)

Bears vs. Cardinals

Giants vs. Ravens

49ers vs. Seahawks  (Seattle is hard to beat at home.)

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays!


Week 14 NFL Picks PLUS Navy vs. Army

December 5, 2012

Not too bad of a week for Week 13 in the NFL, losing a couple of heart-breakers, and thankfully missing out on two teams tying, again.

Hopefully Week 14 proves to be a winner as well, with only one week picking below-.500 this season.

Last Week:  11-5 (.688)

Overall:  128-63-1 (.667)

Broncos vs. Raiders  (It was tempting to take the upset, but Oakland isn’t very good, and the potential for a ‘trap’ game goes out the window.)

Rams vs. Bills

Cowboys vs. Bengals

Chiefs vs. Browns  (Win for the Browns would be three-in-a-row; let that sink in for a moment.)

Titans vs. Colts

Bears vs. Vikings

Chargers vs. Steelers (The Chargers are not a good football team.)

Eagles vs. Buccaneers

Ravens vs. Redskins  (How close this game is depends on which Joe Flacco shows up.)

Falcons vs. Panthers

Jets vs. Jaguars  (The most painful game possible to have to pick.  This should be a slam dunk, but this might end up being the most entertaining game of the weekend.)

Dolphins vs. 49ers

Saints vs. Giants  (If New Orleans could just stop an offense, they’d win another game or two.)

Cardinals vs. Seahawks

Lions vs. Packers

Texans vs. Patriots  (This is actually an upset pick; New England’s defense just not quite good enough to beat the Texans.)

And…instead of another whole post for one college football game, here is last week’s summary for college football, and the pick for one of America’s best rivalry games.

Last Week:  15-4 (.789)

Overall:  301-77 (.796)

Navy vs. Army  (Just not Army’s year.)


Week 12 NFL Picks

November 21, 2012

Last week was a great week picking NFL games, only the St. Louis Rams disappointed.  That pick was probably more anti-New York Jets than pro-St. Louis Rams.

Some of these picks might be getting cocky after last week, but at least it will feel even better if they work.

Last Week:  13-1 (.929)

Overall:  107-52-1 (.669)

Texans vs. Lions (Detroit usually plays tough on Thanksgiving, and it will be enough to beat the Texans.)

Redskins vs. Cowboys

Patriots vs. Jets

Vikings vs. Bears

Raiders vs. Bengals

Steelers vs. Browns (By far, the upset special of the week.  If Cleveland can close it out, this is a winnable game.)

Bills vs. Colts

Broncos vs. Chiefs

Seahawks vs. Dolphins

Falcons vs. Buccaneers (This one will be extremely close.)

Titans vs. Jaguars (Thought about riding the Chad Henne wave, but then remembered about Chad Henne.)

Ravens vs. Chargers

49ers vs. Saints (New Orleans uses this as a start to try to recover to make the playoffs. Still will be a little too late.)

Rams vs. Cardinals (Going with the quarterback with more experience.)

Packers vs. Giants

Panthers vs. Eagles (If the Panthers are going to win another game this season, this would be an easy one to start with.)

Happy Thanksgiving!


NFL Coaching Hot Seats

November 7, 2012

It is approximately the mid-point of the 2012 NFL season.  For some teams, eyes are on the dreams of playing in the postseason.  For others, its looking ahead to 2013.

For the teams who can’t wait for 2013 to get hear, some of them may have new coaches.

This will be broken down into three categories:  “start packing and updating the resume,” “start locating some boxes,” and “shocking but still not shocking.”

“Start Packing and Updating the Resume” a.k.a. these coaches are gone.

Rex Ryan, New York Jets

Each year that Ryan has been in charge, expectations have been high for the Jets.  But every year ends in disappointment.

The whole Tim Tebow experiment has been a complete disaster, not based on the player, but because the Jets haven’t really tried to use Tebow in situations for him to succeed.

This doesn’t even begin to get into the issues that Ryan brings on himself with some of his ill-timed comments.

With the recent success of the Giants, I highly doubt ownership will continue past this season with Ryan.

Pat Shurmur, Cleveland Browns

If there is ever such a thing as a ‘lame duck coach,’ Shurmur is it.

With the ownership change to Jimmy Haslam and leadership change from Mike Holmgren to Joe Banner, they are certain to want to bring in a coach with the same vision.

It’s kind of a shame, because the Browns have played well this season under Shurmur, even if the record doesn’t quite reflect it.

But for Shurmur to stay, the Browns would probably have to win the Super Bowl, and that’s not happening.

Andy Reid, Philadelphia Eagles

It’s very simple, it’s just not working any longer in Philadelphia with Reid.  Sometimes, it just doesn’t work any more.  The relationship grows stale and it’s just time for someone new.

The decision to move a great offensive line coach to defensive coordinator (Juan Castillo), might ultimately sink Reid.  The Eagles likely won’t make the playoffs unless there is a lot of improvement.

Like Rex Ryan, expectations the last few years have been high for the Eagles, but they keep falling short.

But Reid might not be out of a job very long, because there could be a vacancy in Cleveland.

“Start locating some boxes” a.k.a. Barring a miracle, they’ll be out of a job too.

Romeo Crennel, Kansas City Chiefs

The second time might not be the charm for Crennel, who took over the Chiefs midway through last season.

After pulling off a couple surprise wins at the end of last season, the Chiefs haven’t led in regulation yet this year (they have one win this season, in overtime.)

At the end of the day, some head coaches are great coordinators but not great head coaches.  Unfortunately for Crennel, he’s fallen into that category.

Norv Turner, San Diego Chargers

The some head coaches are great coordinators but not great head coaches comment fits here too.  Just Turner has gotten a lot more opportunities.

With the talent on the Chargers, Turner should be leading the class of the AFC West.  Instead, his teams have had to claw just to get into consideration.

The Chargers still have a legitimate shot to make the playoffs, but even that might be enough for Turner.

Ron Rivera, Carolina Panthers

It’s hard to say whether or not the Panthers not taking the next step this season is all Rivera’s fault, but he could end up being the scapegoat.

Owner Jerry Richardson fired long time general manager Marty Hurney during the season, meaning that Rivera’s fate might already be decided.

There is no question the Panthers have the talent, but they remain inconsistent and fail to win close games.

Rivera will pop up again, and deserves another head coaching shot, but his days in Charlotte might be numbered.  Don’t be surprised if Carolina’s next coach, has more of an offensive mind.

“Shocking but not shocking” a.k.a. This is a little surprise, but you know why.

Jason Garrett, Dallas Cowboys

Some people reading this might be shocked that Garrett falls all the way to this category.

If anyone other than Jerry Jones was in charge, Garrett is probably safe.  However, Jones demands winning, and it’s been a long time since the Cowboys have won anything significant.

Also, since Jones isn’t going to replace himself, the next best option is the head coach.  Even if Garrett is gone, like Rivera, he will pop up again.

Ken Whisenhunt, Arizona Cardinals

After making an initial splash when he took over the Cardinals, Whisenhunt has been unable to find an effective quarterback since Kurt Warner.

Despite Arizona’s struggles, they’ve still been competitive in a weak NFC West.  That has probably been what allows Whisenhunt to keep his job.

However, there is only so long that overall ineffectiveness can be acceptable.

Chan Gailey, Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills made a big splash last season, and it looked like they were on the way back.  So far in 2012, it seems that the Bills have taken a step back.

Gailey was kind of a surprising choice when he took this job, so it’s natural to wonder if he is what is holding the Bills back from taking that next step forward.

The Bills have tons of young talent, so if it doesn’t work out, Gailey will be the first to blame and to go.


Week 8 NFL Picks

October 24, 2012

After a dreadful week of picking two weeks ago, last week was a nice rebound, to get back to the winning ways.

Last Week:  11-2 (.846)

Overall:  65-39 (.625)

Buccaneers vs. Vikings (Should be a good game between two up-and-coming teams, however one [Minnesota] is closer to being ‘there’ than the other)

Panthers vs. Bears

Chargers vs. Browns

Seahawks vs. Lions

Jaguars vs. Packers

Colts vs. Titans

Patriots vs. Rams

Dolphins vs. Jets (This game will be a reality check for the loser)

Falcons vs. Eagles

Redskins vs. Steelers

Raiders vs. Chiefs

Giants vs. Cowboys (Not a believer of the Cowboys yet)

Saints vs. Broncos (Joe Vitt’s return is just a little too much for Manning’s magic)

49ers vs. Cardinals (No one will be watching this game looking for stunning quarterback play)


Week 6 NFL Picks

October 11, 2012

Disappointing team performances is the one thing still preventing good picks.  The Panthers and Bengals aren’t teams we thought they were heading into the season.  The Packers and Cardinals just put out bad performances.

Last Week:  10-4 (.714)

Overall:  49-28 (.636)

Steelers vs. Titans

Raiders vs. Falcons

Bengals vs. Browns  (This game will be closer than people think.  Bengals haven’t looked great, while the Browns have competed the last two weeks [at times] against superior teams)

Rams vs. Dolphins

Colts vs. Jets  (As scary of thought this is, I have more faith in Andrew Luck, than Mark Sanchez)

Lions vs. Eagles

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers

Cowboys vs. Ravens

Bills vs. Cardinals

Patriots vs. Seahawks

Giants vs. 49ers (This game won’t be as close as people think.  The only caveat is the health of Alex Smith)

Vikings vs. Redskins (Vikings are a good team, another scary thought)

Packers vs. Texans

Broncos vs. Chargers


Week 5 NFL Picks

October 4, 2012

Week 4 was a good one, much improved from week 3, for picking NFL games.

It should get easier at this point, as everybody starts to know what teams have, and what they don’t

Last Week:  11-4 (.733)

Overall:  39-24 (.619)

Week 5 Picks:

Cardinals vs. Rams

Dolphins vs. Bengals

Packers vs. Colts

Ravens vs. Chiefs

Browns vs. Giants

Eagles vs. Steelers

Falcons vs. Redskins

Seahawks vs. Panthers (If the Panthers lose to mini-Cam [Russell Wilson], it’s going to get ugly in Charlotte really quick.)

Bears vs. Jaguars

Titans vs. Vikings

Broncos vs. Patriots

Bills vs. 49ers

Chargers vs. Saints (The Saints have to win, it’s going to be Drew Brees special night, right?)

Texans vs. Jets (Can it manage to get worse for the Jets on Monday Night?)


Rapid Fire Picks for November 12th

November 12, 2011

Other site is still not allowing me to post, so the picks are here for the third straight week.

College Football:

Last Week: 19-9
Overall: 199-60

#1 LSU over Western Kentucky
#2 Oklahoma State over Texas Tech
#3 Alabama over Mississippi State
#4 Stanford over #7 Oregon
#5 Boise State over TCU
#8 Arkansas over Tennessee
#9 Clemson over Wake Forest
#19 Nebraska over #12 Penn State
#13 South Carolina over Florida…28-17
#14 Kansas State over Texas A&M
#15 Georgia over #20 Auburn
Missouri over #16 Texas
#17 Michigan State over Iowa
#18 Wisconsin over Minnesota
#22 Southern Miss over UCF
West Virginia over #23 Cincinnati
#24 Michigan over Illinois
#25 Baylor over Kansas
North Carolina State over Boston College
Virginia over Duke
Florida State over Miami (FL)
Notre Dame over Maryland
Vanderbilt over Kentucky
Ole Miss over Louisiana Tech
Ohio State over Purdue

NFL:

Last Week: 7-6
Overall: 84-44

Saints over Falcons
Steelers over Bengals
Browns over Rams
Cowboys over Bills
Colts over Jaguars
Chiefs over Broncos
Dolphins over Redskins
Eagles over Cardinals
Texans over Buccaneers
Panthers over Titans
Ravens over Seahawks
Bears over Lions
49ers over Giants
Patriots over Jets
Packers over Vikings


Rapid Fire Picks for November 5th

November 5, 2011

College Football:

Last Week: 16-8
Overall: 180-51

Top 25, based on BCS Standings:
#2 Alabama over #1 LSU
#3 Oklahoma State over #14 Kansas State
#4 Stanford over Oregon State
#5 Boise State over UNLV
#6 Oklahoma over Texas A&M
#9 South Carolina over #7 Arkansas…I’m sticking with the pick from the beginning of the year, SC 49-17
#8 Oregon over Washington…could be a trap game for the Ducks
#10 Nebraska over Northwestern
#13 Houston over UAB
#15 Michigan over Iowa
#17 Michigan State over Minnesota
#18 Georgia over New Mexico State
#19 Arizona State over UCLA
#20 Wisconsin over Purdue
#21 Texas over Texas Tech
#24 West Virginia over Louisville
#25 Southern Miss over East Carolina

SEC:
Florida over Vanderbilt…close
Ole Miss over Kentucky…first to score might win this game
Tennessee over Middle Tennessee State
Mississippi State over Tennessee-Martin

ACC:
Virginia over Maryland
North Carolina over North Carolina State
Miami (FL) over Duke
Notre Dame over Wake Forest

Other Games:
SMU over Tulane
Troy over Navy
Air Force over Army

NFL

Last Week: 8-5
Overall: 77-38

Bills over Jets
Cowboys over Seahawks
Falcons over Colts
Chiefs over Dolphins
Saints over Buccaneers
49ers over Redskins
Texans over Browns
Raiders over Broncos
Patriots over Giants
Rams over Cardinals
Packers over Chargers
Steelers over Ravens
Bears over Eagles